Castro Is Reported to Have cancer

Hace unas semanas, justo a pocos días que dejará "temporalmente" el poder a su hermano Raúl, escribí que el comandante Fidel Castro Ruz no regresaría a tomar el poder de la Isla.

Y es que el tumor gástrico que le fue encontrado en la operación del 27 de julio era maligno. Mi percepción como analista, la confirme con lo que publicó el sábado 5 de julio el periodista Kennedy Alencar en el diario brasileño Folha de Sao Paulo.

Por lo que la señale que la era Fidel había llegado a su fin el 31 de julio,y si acaso regresa será en un papel testimonial. Muy parecido por cierto al que tuvo el Papa Juan Pablo II, cuando el que gobernó realmente fue su secretario de Estado Ángelo Sodano.

Véase: http://fredalvarez.blogspot.com/2006/08/despus-de-fidel-qu.html

Y ayer el semanario Time reconfirma mi hipótesis al afirmar que Castro podría tener un cáncer terminal y se considera como improbable que vuelva a tomar el poder en Cuba. La fuente de la revista pidio la reserva de su nombre pero es gubernamental seguramente los srvicios de inteligencia de EE UU.

Y es que hace unos días el Canciller cubano, Felipe Pérez Roque, había dicho el miércoles pasado que Castro "sigue recuperándose" y estará "de nuevo encabezando la Revolución".

Aunque Time.com. admitió que los informes de inteligencia sobre la salud del mandatario cubano podrían estar errados, el reportero Tim Burger, uno de los autores de la nota, dijo ayer a la cadena televisiva CNN que "durante décadas ha habido rumores sobre la salud de Castro, pero esta vez hay datos precisos y éstos dan credibilidad a tales informes".

Este es el texto en ingles de la revista:
Time, Friday, Oct. 06, 2006
Castro Is Reported to Have Cancer
U.S. intelligence reports now say the Cuban leader's condition appears terminal, government officials tell TIME
By SALLY B. DONNELLY AND TIMOTHY J. BURGER/WASHINGTON

Ever since President Fidel Castro was sidelined for what was said to be abdominal surgery last July, Cuban officials have maintained that the country's leader will return to his post. ''We will again have him leading the revolution,'' said Foreign Minister Felipe Perez Roque just two days ago, speaking at an outdoor rally to protest the U.S. trade embargo against Cuba, according to the Communist Party daily newspaper Granma.

But U.S. officials tell TIME that many in the U.S. government are now convinced that Castro, 80, has terminal cancer and will never return to power. "Certainly we have heard this, that this guy has terminal cancer," said one U.S. official.

Of course, such intelligence reports could be wrong, and one official cautioned that definitive proof is nearly impossible for the U.S. to come by. Yet the fact that the Cuban government removed Castro from the public stage before his death could suggest that Castro and his would-be successors were aware of a terminal condition and wanted to gauge public reaction to his absence. "They got to see how people would react," says one U.S. official. "They have had a chance to see how things might work without out him functioning day-to-day."

Contacted by Time, the Cuban government denied the imminent demise of its leader. One high ranking official said, "The United States Intelligence Services have been wrong for more than 47 years in their predictions not only in relation to the health of the Cuban President but also in all aspects regarding our country." He referred to Castro's July 31 statement as the only definitive assessment of the President's health. In it, Castro declared that surgery and treatment for intestinal bleeding "obliges me to spend several weeks in repose, away from my responsibilities and duties." Cuban sources say that preparations continue for a belated but elaborate celebration of Castro's 80th birthday on Dec. 2.

The U.S. government has been preparing for Castro's departure for half a century. That doesn't mean that things will change much. Fidel's brother Raul, 75, has been acting president since Fidel went into the hospital and has given no indication that he will change the policies of the isolated Communist government that has tormented the U.S. since taking power in 1959. Though he has until recently kept a very low profile, Raul Castro — not Fidel — was feted as the host of the non-aligned nations' summit on Sept. 15. Then Raul called a high profile meeting of the country's local, provincial and national leadership at what he called "this historic moment in our country's history." In another sign of his increasing prominence, two weeks ago Raul delivered his first televised national speech at the close of a trade union federation congress.