The
New York Times, 27/09/16
When
Pope Francis ascended to the chair of St. Peter in March 2013, the world looked
on in wonder. Here at last was a pope in line with the times, a man who
preferred spontaneous gestures to ritual forms. Francis paid his own hotel bill
and eschewed the red shoes. Rather than move into the grand papal apartments,
he settled in the cozy guesthouse for visitors to the Vatican. He also set a
new nondogmatic tone with statements like “Who am I to judge?”
Observers
predicted that the new pope’s warmth, humility and charisma would prompt a
“Francis effect” — bringing disaffected Catholics back to a church that would
no longer seem so forbidding and cold. Three years into his papacy, the
predictions continue. Last winter, Austen Ivereigh, the author of an excellent
biography of Pope Francis, wrote that the pope’s softer stance on communion for
the divorced and remarried “could trigger a return to parishes on a large
scale.” In its early days, Francis’ Jesuit order labored to bring Protestants
back into the fold of the church. Could Francis do the same for Catholics tired
of headlines about child abuse and culture wars?
In
a certain sense, things have changed. Perceptions of the papacy, or at least of
the pope, have improved. Francis is far more popular than his predecessor, Pope
Benedict XVI. Sixty-three percent of American Catholics approve of him, while
only 43 percent approved of Benedict at the height of his popularity, according
to a 2015 New York Times and CBS News poll. Francis has also placed a great
emphasis on reaching out to disaffected Catholics.
But
are Catholics actually coming back? In the United States, at least, it hasn’t
happened. New survey findings from Georgetown’s Center for the Applied Research
for the Apostolate suggest that there has been no Francis effect — at least, no
positive one. In 2008, 23 percent of American Catholics attended Mass each
week. Eight years later, weekly Mass attendance has held steady or marginally
declined, at 22 percent.
Of
course, the United States is only one part of a global church. But the
researchers at Georgetown found that certain types of religious observance are
weaker now among young Catholics than they were under Benedict. In 2008, 50
percent of millennials reported receiving ashes on Ash Wednesday, and 46
percent said they made some sacrifice beyond abstaining from meat on Fridays.
This year, only 41 percent reported receiving ashes and only 36 percent said
they made an extra sacrifice, according to CARA. In spite of Francis’ personal
popularity, young people seem to be drifting away from the faith.
Why
hasn’t the pope’s popularity reinvigorated the church? Perhaps it is too soon
to judge. We probably won’t have a full measure of any Francis effect until the
church is run by bishops appointed by Francis and priests who adopt his
pastoral approach. This will take years or decades.
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